Wednesday, October 31, 2012

A test of Divinity - Part I - Contact - Chapter 3

Nearly four hundred meters further back from the prestigious lodge and four hours after Yordanov his place for participation in the rally took a man with no even one-hundredth of the budget problems the doctor. In the Middle Ages they would call him an ally of the Devil, at the time of Casanova - an unscrupulous adventurer, but in the Wild West - just a gambler. In 2048 hardly anyone called him in any way because he worked very hard to keep the suspense as a part of the business.
John Kalkovski was born in Germany in a family who in another era would be characterized as pure Aryan. But his German nationality remained inherent only up to graduating. After that its high intelligence has led him to forget this kind of separation between people and perceive himself just as inhabitant of The Earth. Then he got his new name, by changing the old, lately lost somewhere in the registry. The combination of Western first name with Eastern family was intentionally chosen for not being closely tied to the nations.
Determining himself as a planetary citizen, John has quit his job in a prestigious company where he has been predicted with a great future, and started his own business. He made it not so much for the money than to finish the practical tests of his complete theoretical system to explain the operation of the distribution of material goods. When fully convinced that in all businesses the chances to succeed and return profit were directly dependent on the risk that you tend to take, he came to the conclusion that in a free market economy everything is risk and the absolute business is the business of risks. After that he focused his intellect in discovering the laws of the risk because it was convinced that they exist in nature because there was nothing accidental. This search continued roughly three years during which Kalkovski managed to suck completely legal two million U.S. dollars from several insurance companies. The amount could be a hundred times more, but his goal was the knowledge, not the money, and he could not risk to be conspicuous. In the same way he won only about five million from small stock exchange operations. Finally he made a large but well-disguised attack, which was the peak in the management of business risk. Using initial capital of one hundred million dollars the entrepreneur managed to acquire the controlling 51% of a corporation with a market capitalization of nearly a billion dollars. The pleasure of being a big capitalist, however, was allowed only for one day and hidden behind thirty dummy companies. After that the shares were gradually and quietly sold and half a billion went into his pocket.
At the end of the third year the business experiments were terminated and the citizen of the world drew millions to the most challenging in terms of risk activity - gambling. He did it, despite the commonly accepted belief that only stragglers invest their fortune in gambling.
Initially he took a vantage point of casino owner that guaranteed a degree of certainty needed to absorb most of the tricks of fortune games. When he learned everything he could learn from "professional" gamblers and integrated this knowledge in his own system of managing the risk, he sold the casino and become a player.
After a year in which revenues exceeded expenses by about one hundred million, Kalkovski fully convinced that in order to overcome the iron statistical laws guaranteeing always an advantage to one side he needs any additional correction factor. And because the only predictable part of any gambling element remains the man, the investigator of risk has come to the obvious conclusion that whether you win depends not only on what, when and at what return you bet, but also with whom you bet. In casinos the system was made from "iron" and the choice came down to a couple of dealers, each of which was working in the same procedure. However, when carefully considering strategy and knowing very well the dealer you can achieve smaller losses and even profits. But in no case large and long, because then they just chased you from the game room.
Better chances gave sporting competitions, especially those with horses, private teams, cars, etc., in which knowledge of the various owners could become a prerequisite for profit. Greatest hits John made here by concluding bilateral bets with several rich swankpots who thought that having poured several millions more to its team than competitors, and they have already won. People of this nature among other things were not so impressed by the loss of money, as by the infringed confidence and were easy to rob as they were willing to lose big bets and win some smaller, just last victory to be theirs. And because after such a victory the stooges of Kalkovski usually deliberately withdrew with a bang, rich were left with joy that they were publicly humiliated.
The most potential for making money anyway was brought by secret related bets in which different people for the same event concluded contracts with contrary clauses. So always one of them would won and cover the losses of the rest. General theory of these operations was that the event A can happen or not happen. If you find someone who is willing to bet a 2:1 chance that it will happen and one that is also willing to bet at 2:1, that will not happen, then the profit is guaranteed, because you always win from one place 2, and the other one loses 1. And such men do existed and it was possible to find, because the world was diverse, aspirations and dreams - different, and everyone believed in his truth.
Exactly a related bet had led Kalkovski tonight in Africa. Uniting the world had many enemies, including radical and militant mafia groups who said they would kill Kotov. Opposite to them, however, pleased with the final fall of the borders, rubbing their hands were just as powerful criminal organizations who already saw the prosperity of business and striving their best to protect the president. Of course for many of them this protection later could come "through the nose" because of the solid measures the President has promised to take against the law-breakers. But at this stage they were allies.
The player of the risk associated with a relatively strong structure of each of the parties and offered them the ratio of 2.5:1 in favor of their desired event.
"If the president did not survive the night - he said the leader of a large fanatical religious group that admitted only the unification of the world under the banner of his own god - you will achieve your goals that in all cases cost more than a quarter billion. But if he survives then your organization will need money to continue the fight, and one hundred million will come good. " The clergyman accepted the proposal almost as an offer to help in murder for the cost of two hundred and fifty million, and a warranty for failure of one hundred million. Bargaining  down the ratio of 2:1, he pulled out of his own funds one hundred million and called all his followers in the name of "holy" work to make special donations from which he get the rest 100 million. The situation was perfect - if Kotov dies, the promise will be fulfilled and this will stabilize him firmly on the messianic position. From which later he could drain from the followers much more than his own 100 million. If it failed, he will have back his own money, and will repay to their donors 2 dollars for every 1 given. The difference would be "paid as God's punishment" from defaulting his promise new ally.
In much clearer business style passed negotiations with one of the drug lords in South America. The big boss was willing to pay even half a billion to save the life of the president as the definitive abolition of boundaries was going to open up new markets. John, however, convinced him that it is better to invest a quarter of a billion, and if the president still does not survive, the hundred million to be a type of interest on "loan" and do not have to cut his fingers or to kill. The Mafioso liked both the logic of the proposal and jocular form in which it was made and hands were clenched.
Both stakes were certainly concluded secretly from the authorities, but they were absolutely guaranteed, as all parties submitted their amounts in two of major underground mafia banks, conducting such type of "guarantee" contracts.
So John found himself in the bullshit statelet on the black continent, to know personally whether he won a hundred or one hundred and fifty million. He wanted to be the second figure, not only because of money but because of its supranational concepts that has driven his life for more than a decade.

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